# Super bowl 45 betting questions

20.04.2020

When we look back on the betting history of the Super Bowl, what are the results, lines, spreads, and trends during the past 55 years? Looking for Super Bowl prop bets? Our Super Bowl 56 props guide has the most popular exotic prop bets, latest player props, game props, and more. New to sports betting? Just want to put a few dollars down on the Super Bowl, but don't know where to begin? Looking to hedge a futures bet? HOW TO VALUE BITCOIN WITH A TRADITIONAL VALUATION MEASURE

It is kicked once and then taken out of play to be preserved in the Pro Football Hall of Fame. Do you lose value? Burke: The goal with a teaser is to acquire as many numbers as possible where the final score could land. NFL games are plenty capable of landing on a final score difference of 3, 4, 6 or 7 and a 6-point teaser through that corridor acquires a lot of potentially good numbers.

Zero is not a good number. You basically turn a 6-point teaser into a 5-point teaser because you are getting an irrelevant number. That is especially true of a playoff game that can't end in a tie. You're still paying the same vig on a 6-point teaser, but only getting 5 points out of it.

Zero carries no value whatsoever. As an aside, there have been five games total that have ended in a tie since the start of the season and only 10 since the start of the season. For instance, when some books opened the Los Angeles Pros also bet the Rams from -4 to This usually leads to the money line on the favorite dropping as we get closer to game day.

Some have predicted that the Rams could get down to or even to win straight up. Burke: The level of risk in betting any parlay is high because you are usually going to have nothing for show for your ticket. The more props you add to a parlay, the less likely you are to win anything for it. Think about it - the break-even percentage at the standard vig is As you start adding things to a parlay, the odds get longer and longer. Simplifying the math a bit to make it easier to understand, your implied probability of winning is roughly cut in half with each leg you add to a parlay.

The payout odds don't go up accordingly in light of the increased risk. So, personally, I don't like to parlay props and don't like to bet a lot of parlays in general. The idea of winning five out of six bets or something comparable and winning zero dollars for it doesn't sit well with me. There have been bettors that have gotten fortunate and cashed their "lottery ticket" parlays with props.

If you are betting micro stakes on these long-shot tickets every now and then, there is nothing wrong with that. If you are betting big amounts in hopes of hitting a massive jackpot, you are better off betting the props individually to try and show a profit if you win more of them than you lose. If you can find two or three correlated props and are allowed to parlay those, go for it. The Super Bowl is a time when you can make a few exceptions to the rule. I'm assuming when looking at last 8 games, if it says under Record " UN" that means 7 of the last 8 have gone under the total?

Does the profit reflect if you bet it that way, or is the profit if you had bet the over each time? Burke: Reading left to right, let's go over the Player Prop Analyzer from a screenshot taken on Tuesday morning at a. If you ever have any questions about our other betting tools and resources, don't hesitate to reach out. The bet reads "What will be the outcome of the opening kickoff? Do you think MGM would grade this "no action" if the opening kick goes out of bounds for a penalty since as neither option would have occurred?

Burke: The best course of action here is to ask somebody for clarity on the grading of the prop before making your wager. I wouldn't even want to speculate as to how they'd handle a kick out of bounds. However, this is a great general question for all prop bettors to think about. If the wording on a bet seems vague or there are potential questions for the grading, just reach out to customer service. This is especially true of anybody betting into the offshore prop market.

Some bets will be left up to the "Manager's Discretion" and that is probably not a bet you want to risk because you have no way of knowing how it will be graded. If there won't be a definitive answer, it might be best to stay away from that wager. In the case of a prop like this, you can find Opening Kickoff props at just about any sportsbook and it may be better to wager on it somewhere else. Will the Rams be forced to use the visitors locker room and stand on the other side of the field than they are used to?

Could play a little "mind" game with the Rams! Burke: The Bengals are indeed the "home" team because it alternates every year. However, the Rams will be in their own locker room and on the home sideline, per Arash Markazi on Twitter. Home-field advantage with the crowd, though, could be another story! Burke: One would hope that with an entire week's worth of extra prep time, and time to get healthy, that they've done something schematically to improve.

But, obviously, the personnel has not changed. It is one of the big stories of this game and could be a reason why the Rams took early money. Sharper bettors tend to weigh the battle in the trenches a lot more than the average bettor. Generally speaking, sides and totals will have vig, though that can and will change, depending on the betting action the books are receiving. Some props will be Others will be higher or lower. All bets - sides, totals, props, moneylines, etc.

What are the new top five key numbers for point spreads? Of the single-digit numbers, 6, 5 and 4 are next in line. The biggest changes have been with 5 and 6, as 4 has fallen with less frequency. What in your opinion is the best way to hedge a decent-sized bet like this?

How should I hedge to maximize my profits for either outcome? What should I do? Burke: As stated above, I can't tell anybody exactly what to do with their futures for a number of reasons , but here's how this strategy looks for those in a similar boat. The one thing to keep in mind about hedging is that you have to look at your initial investment differently. Your view may vary on this hedge, but it does guarantee profit all around and the chances of the Bengals winning the Super Bowl without Burrow as the MVP is very small.

Here's more on hedging Super Bowl futures. Whether you get a great square 7,4,3,1,0 or conversely a terrible draw of 2,5,6,8? Is there a strategy to pull a profit out on either side? Having said that, I think there are a few cases where you can certainly increase your chances of hitting. I liken it to those roulette players that spread their chips all over the layout. Even after they hit a number, you know they barely even broke even as the dealers gather up all their losing chips.

Which team do you think has an advantage here? Burke: This is an excellent question. His overly conservative approach has the potential to keep Cincinnati in the game. Something that has stuck with me in the lead-up to the game is that regular Follow The Money guest Adam Chernoff tweeted the night that we knew the Super Bowl matchup about how predictable Zac Taylor is as a play caller and scripter. McVay obviously knows Taylor very well. As I've written, Cincinnati was 25th in points allowed per game in the first half and 3rd in points allowed per game in the second half during the regular season.

He adjusts well on the fly. With any luck for my bet, he'll have a good game-plan to start as well. Many will say that McVay has the advantage being the "teacher" against his "student". He's also been in more big games than Taylor. I guess I'd give McVay a modest edge and a bigger edge if he has learned from his mistakes of going into a shell too early.

Henderson was officially activated on Friday. You'll be able to see a good, three-back rotation, based on how the game unfolds. That would suggest to me that Michel is not going to get much work at all. At this point, I'm seriously considering under on attempts and yards for Michel. The fact that Akers immediately usurped Michel when he returned is a sign that McVay has very little belief in him.

Henderson's return seems to push him down the chart again. Makinen: I have personally opted out the Michel props after hearing this. He was actually one of my favorite options heading into this week as I thought he had a chance to be a bigger part of the game plan than he was against San Francisco.

There were times in the last couple months where he carried the load and deserved his share of carries on Sunday. For instance, these Super Bowl prop bets can deal with things like the price of Bitcoin at the time of kickoff or Super Bowl commercials.

Normally, this top prize is presented to the quarterback of the winning team. Safeties and defensive ends are tied with two accolades each. Cornerbacks, fullbacks and kick returners have all received one decoration each. The first player to score a touchdown in Super Bowl 55 was Rob Gronkowski. On the other hand, you can look at Gatorade colors from previous Super Bowls and see how many times orange was the hue of choice.

You can also keep it locked to Odds Shark since we offer expert analysis of all Super Bowl prop bet answers.

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Which over-the-counter medical product sees a 20 percent spike in sales after game day? Show Answer Antacid More Information It turns out that all those wings, beer, nachos, and pizza are pretty hard on most peoples' stomachs. Try out these hard trivia questions to make it a challenging and even game. Here are the 5 best hard Super Bowl trivia questions: Which Super Bowl winning team was the first to be invited to the White House?

They had a celebration ceremony on the south lawn of the white house. They made a remix in , too! Who is the only player with three interceptions in a Super Bowl game? What player holds the record for most rushing yards in a single Super Bowl? Simplifying the math a bit to make it easier to understand, your implied probability of winning is roughly cut in half with each leg you add to a parlay.

The payout odds don't go up accordingly in light of the increased risk. So, personally, I don't like to parlay props and don't like to bet a lot of parlays in general. The idea of winning five out of six bets or something comparable and winning zero dollars for it doesn't sit well with me. There have been bettors that have gotten fortunate and cashed their "lottery ticket" parlays with props. If you are betting micro stakes on these long-shot tickets every now and then, there is nothing wrong with that.

If you are betting big amounts in hopes of hitting a massive jackpot, you are better off betting the props individually to try and show a profit if you win more of them than you lose. If you can find two or three correlated props and are allowed to parlay those, go for it. The Super Bowl is a time when you can make a few exceptions to the rule. I'm assuming when looking at last 8 games, if it says under Record " UN" that means 7 of the last 8 have gone under the total?

Does the profit reflect if you bet it that way, or is the profit if you had bet the over each time? Burke: Reading left to right, let's go over the Player Prop Analyzer from a screenshot taken on Tuesday morning at a. If you ever have any questions about our other betting tools and resources, don't hesitate to reach out. The bet reads "What will be the outcome of the opening kickoff? Do you think MGM would grade this "no action" if the opening kick goes out of bounds for a penalty since as neither option would have occurred?

Burke: The best course of action here is to ask somebody for clarity on the grading of the prop before making your wager. I wouldn't even want to speculate as to how they'd handle a kick out of bounds. However, this is a great general question for all prop bettors to think about. If the wording on a bet seems vague or there are potential questions for the grading, just reach out to customer service.

This is especially true of anybody betting into the offshore prop market. Some bets will be left up to the "Manager's Discretion" and that is probably not a bet you want to risk because you have no way of knowing how it will be graded.

If there won't be a definitive answer, it might be best to stay away from that wager. In the case of a prop like this, you can find Opening Kickoff props at just about any sportsbook and it may be better to wager on it somewhere else. Will the Rams be forced to use the visitors locker room and stand on the other side of the field than they are used to?

Could play a little "mind" game with the Rams! Burke: The Bengals are indeed the "home" team because it alternates every year. However, the Rams will be in their own locker room and on the home sideline, per Arash Markazi on Twitter.

Home-field advantage with the crowd, though, could be another story! Burke: One would hope that with an entire week's worth of extra prep time, and time to get healthy, that they've done something schematically to improve. But, obviously, the personnel has not changed. It is one of the big stories of this game and could be a reason why the Rams took early money. Sharper bettors tend to weigh the battle in the trenches a lot more than the average bettor.

Generally speaking, sides and totals will have vig, though that can and will change, depending on the betting action the books are receiving. Some props will be Others will be higher or lower. All bets - sides, totals, props, moneylines, etc. What are the new top five key numbers for point spreads?

Of the single-digit numbers, 6, 5 and 4 are next in line. The biggest changes have been with 5 and 6, as 4 has fallen with less frequency. What in your opinion is the best way to hedge a decent-sized bet like this? How should I hedge to maximize my profits for either outcome? What should I do? Burke: As stated above, I can't tell anybody exactly what to do with their futures for a number of reasons , but here's how this strategy looks for those in a similar boat.

The one thing to keep in mind about hedging is that you have to look at your initial investment differently. Your view may vary on this hedge, but it does guarantee profit all around and the chances of the Bengals winning the Super Bowl without Burrow as the MVP is very small.

Here's more on hedging Super Bowl futures. Whether you get a great square 7,4,3,1,0 or conversely a terrible draw of 2,5,6,8? Is there a strategy to pull a profit out on either side? Having said that, I think there are a few cases where you can certainly increase your chances of hitting.

I liken it to those roulette players that spread their chips all over the layout. Even after they hit a number, you know they barely even broke even as the dealers gather up all their losing chips. Which team do you think has an advantage here?

Burke: This is an excellent question. His overly conservative approach has the potential to keep Cincinnati in the game. Something that has stuck with me in the lead-up to the game is that regular Follow The Money guest Adam Chernoff tweeted the night that we knew the Super Bowl matchup about how predictable Zac Taylor is as a play caller and scripter.

McVay obviously knows Taylor very well. As I've written, Cincinnati was 25th in points allowed per game in the first half and 3rd in points allowed per game in the second half during the regular season. He adjusts well on the fly. With any luck for my bet, he'll have a good game-plan to start as well. Many will say that McVay has the advantage being the "teacher" against his "student". He's also been in more big games than Taylor.

I guess I'd give McVay a modest edge and a bigger edge if he has learned from his mistakes of going into a shell too early. Henderson was officially activated on Friday. You'll be able to see a good, three-back rotation, based on how the game unfolds. That would suggest to me that Michel is not going to get much work at all.

At this point, I'm seriously considering under on attempts and yards for Michel. The fact that Akers immediately usurped Michel when he returned is a sign that McVay has very little belief in him. Henderson's return seems to push him down the chart again. Makinen: I have personally opted out the Michel props after hearing this. He was actually one of my favorite options heading into this week as I thought he had a chance to be a bigger part of the game plan than he was against San Francisco.

There were times in the last couple months where he carried the load and deserved his share of carries on Sunday. This reminds me a bit of the Gurley situation three years ago when McVay made it completely unpredictable as to how he would use his backs vs. You may find a book that offers alternate lines for 1st half bets, but that would be the closest you would get.

DraftKings also confirmed they don't offer the bet and did not say why. I have thoughts but can't find anything on the internet - Paul D. Burke: The governing bodies for sports betting in each state are able to set policies that define what sportsbooks can offer and what they can't. Connecticut's laws restrict certain bets, and apparently the coin toss is one of them. For example, there are a handful of states, including New Jersey, that restrict betting on college sports featuring teams located in the state.

It just depends from state to state. This includes, but not limited to, the start of the game, potential ebb and flows during the four quarters. Finally, individual player performance expectations for both teams. Burke: The performances to date for both teams suggest that the Rams are likely ahead in the first half and that the Bengals will be pretty lively in the second half.

As I've mentioned, Cincinnati was 25th in points allowed per game in the first half and 3rd in points allowed per game in the second half, so it wouldn't be terribly surprising to see that play out. The Rams were 3rd in points allowed per game in the first half and 17th in the second half.

If these things hold true to form, it is possible that you might be able to get a really nice in-game spread or moneyline play on the Bengals in the first half or at halftime. The Rams were 7th in points scored per game in the first half with The teams were about even in the second half, despite McVay's tendency to get conservative.

History tells us to expect a slow start. Per this tweet from Mitch Moss, we've had 14 scoreless first quarters in the Super Bowl, 10 quarters that ended and eight quarters that ended

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